Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bromley are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Reading are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 50.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the League Cup, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
12.1%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20