GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bristol Rovers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Peterborough are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 33.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the League Cup, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol RoversDDLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PeterboroughLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bristol RoversPeterborough
0.0Attack44.4
33.3Defence55.6
0.0Form33.3
15.3Power48.3
1.30xG1.45
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