GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol Manor Farm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bristol Manor Farm are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Newport County are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Newport County hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bristol Manor Farm holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol Manor Farm

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

34.3%

Bristol Manor Farm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol Manor FarmLDWDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Newport CountyWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bristol Manor FarmNewport County
0.0Attack20.0
0.0Defence60.0
0.0Form26.7
7.0Power37.7
1.44xG1.43
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