GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/6/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Walsall · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bristol City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Walsall are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Walsall hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the League Cup, while Walsall holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Walsall

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

13.7%

Walsall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol CityDDWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WalsallDLLDL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Bristol CityWalsall
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.21xG1.42
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