GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Bristol City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Newport County are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol City hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (81.0 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bristol City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol City

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Bristol City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol CityLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Newport CountyLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Bristol CityNewport County
60.0Attack20.0
93.3Defence60.0
86.7Form26.7
81.0Power37.7
1.97xG0.84
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