GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bristol City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Newcastle are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol City hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (81.0 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bristol City holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol City

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Bristol City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol CityLWDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NewcastleDWLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bristol CityNewcastle
60.0Attack50.0
93.3Defence38.9
86.7Form38.9
81.0Power43.8
2.42xG1.06
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