Bristol Cityvs
Millwall
SCHEDULEDEngland · Championship · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bristol City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Millwall are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol City hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.6% in the Championship, while Bristol City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bristol City
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
20.6%
Bristol City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80