GGOALVIO

England · Championship · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bristol City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Millwall are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol City hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.6% in the Championship, while Bristol City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol City

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

20.6%

Bristol City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol CityLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MillwallDLDWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Bristol CityMillwall
38.4Attack32.6
63.0Defence60.1
44.9Form42.8
50.3Power47.0
0.99xG0.65
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