Brisbane Roar IIvsMoreton City Excelsior

Brisbane Roar II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.