GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 8/14/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Brisbane Roar II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gold Coast Knights are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast Knights hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (33.5 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast Knights

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

8.5%

Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brisbane Roar IILWLWD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Gold Coast KnightsDLDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Brisbane Roar IIGold Coast Knights
49.2Attack69.8
20.6Defence50.8
25.4Form55.6
33.5Power57.8
1.48xG3.34
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