Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altona 93 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bremer SV are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Altona 93 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Altona 93 hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Altona 93 holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Altona 93
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Altona 93 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20