GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/9/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Breidablik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Breidablik are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Valur Reykjavik are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and breidablik hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the Úrvalsdeild, favouring Breidablik with 8.2% confidence, a 76% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Breidablik

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

8.2%

Breidablik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BreidablikLWDWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Valur ReykjavikLLDWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BreidablikValur Reykjavik
68.6Attack54.9
47.1Defence31.4
56.9Form37.3
58.5Power42.8
3.28xG1.57
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