GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 6/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Brasiliense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Goiatuba EC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Goiatuba EC hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BrasilienseWDWLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Goiatuba ECWDDLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
BrasilienseGoiatuba EC
30.6Attack41.2
69.4Defence80.4
41.7Form64.7
50.3Power63.6
0.45xG0.72
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