BrasiliensevsAparecidense

Brasiliense are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Aparecidense are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Brasiliense hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.