Brasil DE Pelotasvs
Sao Jose
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Brasil DE Pelotas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sao Jose are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Jose hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80