GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Brasil DE Pelotas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Marcílio Dias are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Marcílio Dias hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brasil DE PelotasDWLWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Marcílio DiasLWDDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Brasil DE PelotasMarcílio Dias
30.0Attack33.3
60.0Defence73.8
33.3Form50.0
43.3Power54.5
0.49xG0.76
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