Brasil DE Pelotasvs
Independiente FSJ
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Brasil DE Pelotas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente FSJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente FSJ hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20