Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Brann are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Valerenga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Brann hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Eliteserien, while Brann holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
8.8%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80