Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Brann are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Start are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Brann hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Eliteserien, while Brann holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
82.2%
Model confidence
10.2%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20