Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Brann are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ham-Kam are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Brann hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the Eliteserien, while Brann holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80