Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Preston · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bradford are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Preston are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Preston holds the strongest overall chance at 33% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Preston
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
33.5%
Preston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20