Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naestved · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Brabrand are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Naestved are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Naestved hold a 36.2-point power-rating edge (12.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the 2. Division, while Naestved holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Naestved
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
12.3%
Naestved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20