Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malvern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Box Hill are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Malvern are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 5.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Malvern hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Malvern holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malvern
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Malvern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 5.00/3.00