GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bournemouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bournemouth are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC St. Pauli are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC St. Pauli hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bournemouth holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bournemouth

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Bournemouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BournemouthDDWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC St. PauliWWWWL

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BournemouthFC St. Pauli
100.0Attack66.7
46.7Defence66.7
66.7Form72.2
66.4Power69.0
1.90xG1.85
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