Bournemouthvs
FC St. Pauli
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bournemouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bournemouth are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC St. Pauli are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC St. Pauli hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bournemouth holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bournemouth
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Bournemouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60