GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bourg-en-bresse 01 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Villefranche are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bourg-en-bresse 01 hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Ligue 3, while Bourg-en-bresse 01 holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bourg-en-bresse 01

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Bourg-en-bresse 01 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bourg-en-bresse 01LDWWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VillefrancheLDLLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bourg-en-bresse 01Villefranche
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
1.74xG1.07
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