Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rouen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Boulogne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rouen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.0 against 36.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rouen holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rouen
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Rouen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20