Botev Vratsavs
Slavia Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Botev Vratsa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Slavia Sofia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Slavia Sofia hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the First League, while Slavia Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Slavia Sofia
Probability
34.3%
Model confidence
14.9%
Slavia Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80