GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/19/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botev Vratsa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botev Vratsa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cherno More Varna are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Vratsa hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 25.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the First League, while Botev Vratsa holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botev Vratsa

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Botev Vratsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botev VratsaWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cherno More VarnaDDWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Botev VratsaCherno More Varna
33.3Attack11.1
44.4Defence44.4
11.1Form11.1
32.9Power25.8
1.29xG1.00
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