Botev Plovdivvs
Spartak Varna
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 8/10/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Varna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Botev Plovdiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Spartak Varna are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Varna hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the First League, while Spartak Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Varna
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
14.2%
Spartak Varna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40