GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botev Plovdiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botev Plovdiv are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Lokomotiv Sofia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Plovdiv hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the First League, while Botev Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botev Plovdiv

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Botev Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botev PlovdivWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv SofiaDDWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
44.4Attack33.3
55.6Defence41.7
44.4Form16.7
51.1Power33.8
1.52xG0.93
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