Botev Plovdivvs
Lokomotiv Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botev Plovdiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Botev Plovdiv are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Lokomotiv Sofia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Plovdiv hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the First League, while Botev Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Botev Plovdiv
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Botev Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40