GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 8/1/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botev Plovdiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botev Plovdiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cherno More Varna are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Plovdiv hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 21.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the First League, while Botev Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botev Plovdiv

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

Botev Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botev PlovdivLDWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cherno More VarnaLDDDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
46.7Attack26.7
46.7Defence20.0
46.7Form6.7
49.7Power21.9
1.93xG0.89
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