GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Septemvri Sofia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botev Ihtiman are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Septemvri Sofia II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Septemvri Sofia II hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Third League - Southwest, while Septemvri Sofia II holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Septemvri Sofia II

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Septemvri Sofia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botev IhtimanLWWDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Septemvri Sofia IIWDLWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Botev IhtimanSeptemvri Sofia II
66.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power83.3
1.36xG1.56
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