GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botev Ihtiman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Botev Ihtiman are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kostinbrod are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Ihtiman hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Third League - Southwest, while Botev Ihtiman holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botev Ihtiman

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

12.1%

Botev Ihtiman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botev IhtimanWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KostinbrodWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Botev IhtimanKostinbrod
66.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power51.0
1.66xG1.41
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