BotafogovsIndependiente Petrolero

Botafogo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Independiente Petrolero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 20.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.