BotafogovsFluminense

Botafogo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fluminense are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Serie A, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.