GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lincoln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Boston United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lincoln are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lincoln hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 77.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lincoln holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lincoln

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Lincoln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boston UnitedWWDWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LincolnLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Boston UnitedLincoln
62.5Attack58.3
41.7Defence91.7
62.5Form83.3
58.1Power77.8
1.65xG1.88
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