Boston Rivervs
Wanderers
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 4/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Boston River are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Wanderers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wanderers hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00