Boston Rivervs
Liverpool Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 6/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Boston River are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80