Boston Rivervs
Liverpool Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 3/10/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Boston River are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00