Boston Rivervs
Cerro Largo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 4/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Boston River are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Largo hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40