GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boston Legacy W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Boston Legacy W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chicago Red Stars W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boston Legacy W hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the NWSL Women, while Boston Legacy W holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boston Legacy W

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Boston Legacy W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boston Legacy WDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Red Stars WWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Boston Legacy WChicago Red Stars W
38.6Attack15.8
50.9Defence40.4
35.1Form22.8
44.1Power29.8
1.54xG0.67
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