GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Borussia Mönchengladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Borussia Mönchengladbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aston Villa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Borussia Mönchengladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

10.1%

Borussia Mönchengladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Borussia MönchengladbachWLWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aston VillaLWWWD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Borussia MönchengladbachAston Villa
66.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power50.0
1.88xG1.68
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