GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AS Roma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Borussia Dortmund are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while AS Roma are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 69.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AS Roma

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

8.9%

AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Borussia DortmundWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AS RomaLWLDW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Borussia DortmundAS Roma
61.9Attack77.8
33.3Defence66.7
47.6Form66.7
49.4Power69.6
1.53xG2.53
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