GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Borussia Dortmund II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Borussia Dortmund II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lüner SV are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Borussia Dortmund II hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 29.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Borussia Dortmund II holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Borussia Dortmund II

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Borussia Dortmund II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Borussia Dortmund IILDLDW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Lüner SVLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Borussia Dortmund IILüner SV
72.2Attack60.0
61.1Defence0.0
44.4Form20.0
54.2Power29.1
3.22xG1.32
View match centre →