GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Annan Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Annan Athletic are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Annan Athletic hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Challenge Cup, while Annan Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Annan Athletic

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

10.6%

Annan Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticWLWWL

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Annan AthleticWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticAnnan Athletic
33.3Attack50.0
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
15.3Power51.0
1.57xG1.85
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