Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Verl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Bonner SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Verl are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Verl hold a 28.5-point power-rating edge (25.7 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Verl holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Verl
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Verl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80