GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 8/14/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportfreunde Lotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bonner SC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sportfreunde Lotte are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportfreunde Lotte hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Regionalliga - West, while Sportfreunde Lotte holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportfreunde Lotte

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

Sportfreunde Lotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bonner SCLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sportfreunde LotteDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bonner SCSportfreunde Lotte
33.3Attack0.0
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form16.7
26.7Power36.5
1.35xG1.40
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