GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 4/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Bolívar are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Oruro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolívar hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (68.9 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.7% in the Primera División, while Bolívar holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bolívar

Probability

84.7%

Model confidence

84.7%

Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BolívarDWWWW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real OruroLDWWL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BolívarReal Oruro
80.0Attack59.5
64.4Defence16.7
66.7Form40.5
68.9Power40.1
4.50xG1.08
View match centre →