Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bolívar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Petare FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolívar hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60