GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Segunda División · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monagas II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bolívar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Monagas II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monagas II hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 63.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.6% in the Segunda División, while Monagas II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monagas II

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

21.6%

Monagas II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BolívarLDWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Monagas IIDDWWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BolívarMonagas II
31.4Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
47.1Form64.6
50.9Power63.1
0.65xG0.95
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