Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolton · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bolton are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Everton are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.1 against 57.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bolton holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bolton
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Bolton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80